The analysis is both in-depth and interesting. West Belfast certainly has displayed a shift in voting patterns the past few years. The prediction of Pat Sheehan losing his seat could be spot on given that he’s a rich landlord standing in Upper Springfield – where people experience the highest social deprivation levels in Europe. I really don’t know what he has in common with those that lead their daily lives here. I think this election will probably be one of the most exciting for West Belfast in particular. Thanks for the heads up on this BTP.


West Belfast is often seen as one of those constituencies that simply ‘belongs’ to a particular party, such is their strength.  Of course by that in this constituency we mean Sinn Fein, who have held the Westminster seat and at least four out of six Assembly seats for as long as many can remember.

However, this constituency has undergone some changes recently candidate-wise.  Gerry Adams is no longer the party standard bearer, and Alex Maskey has moved from South Belfast to West this time around.  Rosie McCorley and Pat Sheehan are running as candidates for the first time for the party also.

SF candidates for the constituency are:

Fra McCann (sitting)

Rosie McCorley (sitting)

Alex Maskey (sitting)

Pat Sheehan (sitting)

Jennifer McCann (sitting)

Sheehan polled the lowest number of first preferences in 2011 at 3,723 and overall the party’s vote fell by a not insignificant 3.8%.  In a major upset, the…

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